Egg prices have tumbled since Trump returned to office. Here's why

If avian flu outbreaks are contained through coordinated biosecurity measures and supply chains stabilize, sustained price declines could ease consumer food inflation expectations and reduce pressure on broader CPI readings, though the effect would be modest given eggs' weight in the index.

Egg prices remaining volatile but trending lower would likely reflect an equilibrium between disease pressure and reduced input costs from tariff relief or feed price movements, keeping the commodity in a holding pattern that neither signals agricultural distress nor meaningful deflation.

A resurgence in avian flu or further deterioration in farm economics from tariff-driven input cost increases could push egg prices sharply higher again, reinforcing concerns about food price stickiness and potentially signaling broader agricultural sector stress.