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What's Happening in Technology & Software

Technology and software markets are caught between two contradictory pressures: sustained investor appetite for AI infrastructure and compute capacity, offset by mounting doubts about whether the spending will generate returns. OpenAI's $1.25 trillion valuation and Blackstone's backing of CoreWeave signal that large capital pools remain committed to AI buildout despite near-term financing headwinds and operational stumbles at individual firms like CoreWeave itself. Yet the Nasdaq's 2.6% drop reflects a genuine repricing of tech valuations as investors question whether AI capex cycles will justify the scale of deployment underway, with Meta's cash burn on AI systems and Barclays' job cuts signaling that efficiency gains and margin pressure are reshaping labor economics faster than revenue growth can absorb them. Regulatory and operational friction is mounting in parallel: Etsy's ban on AI-generated content, OpenAI's failed safety tests, the PHP vulnerability affecting 70% of websites, and Google's illegal forest clearing in Finland all point to governance gaps and execution risk that compress margins and raise compliance costs for infrastructure operators. If credit conditions tighten further as bond traders brace for AI lending stress and eurozone sovereign debt turbulence, capital deployment will slow and the timeline to profitability for AI-heavy firms will extend, forcing a recalibration of valuations that have priced in uninterrupted growth.