Conflict in Kordofan region disrupts Sudan's internal trade pathways

Stabilization of the Kordofan corridor would plausibly ease regional commodity flows and humanitarian logistics, potentially reducing supply-chain premiums on goods transiting Sudan and lowering insurance costs for cross-border trade.

Continued fragmentation of control over Kordofan would likely sustain existing friction in Sudan's internal logistics networks, keeping commodity prices elevated and humanitarian access constrained without triggering sharp new shocks to global markets.

A major shift in territorial control or intensification of fighting in Kordofan could disrupt commodity exports (particularly gum arabic, livestock, and agricultural products) and further isolate eastern and western Sudan, putting upward pressure on regional food and energy prices and widening humanitarian access gaps.