Sudan faces mounting famine threat from war and drought conditions

A ceasefire and resumption of agricultural activity combined with international aid coordination would likely ease commodity price pressures and reduce humanitarian-driven capital outflows from the region, though recovery would be gradual.

Continued conflict and drought without escalation or intervention would sustain elevated food prices in regional and global commodity markets while keeping humanitarian aid demand steady, with localized currency weakness persisting but not triggering systemic contagion.

Famine conditions worsening into mass displacement and state collapse would intensify regional instability, potentially disrupting shipping lanes and logistics hubs while accelerating capital flight and currency depreciation in Sudan and neighboring economies dependent on trade flows.