Inflation & Monetary Policy
Latest in Inflation & Monetary Policy· Nov 11
The Bank of England's cautious rate-hiking pace risks embedding inflation expectations and keeping borrowing costs elevated for longer, according to the National Institute of Economic and Social Research. Timid monetary tightening fails to anchor price growth, forcing the central bank to maintain restrictive policy further into the cycle than aggressive early action would require. Higher rates for an extended period depress bond valuations and raise equity discount rates, though they support sterling by keeping carry trades profitable. Japanese equities held steady as defensive sectors—banks and pharmaceuticals—outperformed amid the broader uncertainty, a typical rotation into dividend-yielding stocks when markets lack directional conviction.
Macroeconomic trends in inflation dynamics, central bank policy responses, and broader risks to price stability across major economies.
48 events across this topic and its sub-topics
What the Market Says
- Number of rate cuts in 2026? ↗
- 98%Exactly 0 cuts
- 1%Exactly 1 cut
- 1%Exactly 14 cuts
Earliest close Jan 1, 2027
- Fed decision in Dec 2026? ↗
- 86%Hike 25bps
- 12%Hike >25bps
- 4%Fed maintains rate
Earliest close Dec 9, 2026
- Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? ↗
- 100%Above 3.75%
- 100%Above 3.50%
- 100%Above 3.00%
Earliest close Dec 9, 2026
Prices from Kalshi prediction markets: the market-implied chance of each outcome, set by traders, not a forecast or advice from Penblock. Penblock is not affiliated with Kalshi.
- Reported by 2 outlets1 day ago
Nikkei holds steady as banks and drugmakers offset tech decline
Nikkei 225 held flat as gains in banking and pharmaceutical stocks offset broader weakness.
CNBC · The Wall Street Journal
- Single source1 day ago
Niesr warns timid rate hike will entrench UK inflation, extend high borrowing costs
Think tank Niesr criticizes the central bank's cautious approach to rate increases, arguing it will keep inflation elevated and borrowing expensive for longer.
The Guardian
- Single source2 days ago
October inflation data due Tuesday; headline CPI seen rising 0.3%
U.S. inflation data for October releases Tuesday, a key gauge for Federal Reserve policy direction.
CNBC
- Single sourceMARKET SHOCK ↑3 days ago
Japan deploys record $50 billion in single day to support yen
Japan spent $50 billion in a single day to support the yen, its largest intervention in decades.
The Wall Street Journal
- Single source5 days ago
Europe seeks Japan partnership to build first commercial fusion reactor
Europe and Japan are collaborating to build the first commercial fusion power plant, accelerating the race toward fusion energy commercialization.
CNBC
- Single source5 days ago
San Francisco Fed chief: more rate increases required to combat inflation
Daly called the jobs report positive for workers but warned that inflation continues straining household budgets, suggesting additional rate hikes are necessary.
CNBC
- Reported by 3 outletsMARKET SHOCK ↓7 days ago
Bank of England lifts borrowing costs after three-year pause
The central bank tightened monetary policy for the first time since 2021 and projected inflation would reach roughly 5 percent, well above its 2 percent goal.
BBC News · The New York Times · CNBC
- Single source7 days ago
Strategist: Reagan-era bipartisan coalition could fuel market surge
A strategist argues bipartisan policy will trigger a major equity rally, drawing parallels to the 1980s.
MarketWatch
- Single source8 days ago
Eurozone price growth reaches 4% as energy costs spike above 20%
Eurozone inflation rises to 4%, the highest in three years, pressuring the ECB toward rate increases.
CNBC
- Reported by 2 outletsMARKET SHOCK ↓9 days ago
Australia lifts borrowing costs to highest level since 2006
Australia's central bank raises rates to 18-year highs as it continues fighting persistent inflation.
CNBC · The Guardian
- Single source12 days ago
ECB hunts successor to departing president Lagarde
Federal Reserve faces search for new chair as current leadership transition approaches, requiring both technical expertise and political skill.
The New York Times
- Single source12 days ago
Swiss National Bank reports $23 billion profit from gold and foreign holdings
Swiss National Bank reports $23 billion profit driven by gold and foreign asset gains.
CNBC
- Single source13 days ago
Bank of Japan keeps rates steady as core inflation hits 2% goal for first time in decade
Japan's central bank held interest rates unchanged after core inflation reached its 2% target for the first time since establishing the goal in 2013.
CNBC
- Single source13 days ago
ECB holds rates at 2.5%, markets bet on December cut
ECB holds key rate at 2.5%, signaling pause in monetary tightening cycle.
CNBC
- Single sourceMARKET SHOCK ↓13 days ago
US GDP surges 3.4% as inflation climbs to 3.7%
US economy expanded faster than forecast while inflation accelerated to 3.7%, complicating Fed policy outlook.
The Guardian
- Single source13 days ago
PCE inflation quickens in September as Fed holds rates
U.S. inflation accelerated in October according to the PCE index, pressuring bond yields and risk appetite.
The New York Times
- Reported by 2 outlets13 days ago
U.S. economy expands 3.4% in third quarter; inflation picks up
U.S. third-quarter GDP grew 3.4%, beating forecasts, while September inflation picked up pace.
CNBC · NPR
- Reported by 2 outlets14 days ago
Lagarde exits ECB presidency early, triggering leadership search
The European Central Bank president will leave her post in February, before completing her eight-year mandate, prompting European officials to choose a successor.
The New York Times · CNBC
- Single source14 days ago
Powell vows inflation fight; Micron surges in afternoon trading roundup
Fed chairman signals hawkish stance on inflation; Micron shares surge.
CNBC
- Single source16 days ago
BOJ to keep rates steady while signaling December or January increase
Bank of Japan expected to hold rates steady while signaling continued hawkish stance this week.
CNBC
- Single source16 days ago
Japan's borrowing costs climb after prolonged period of rock-bottom rates
BBC News
- Single source20 days ago
Japan's core inflation hits 2024 peak of 2.1% in September
Japan's core inflation hit 2.1% in September, the year's high, pressuring the yen and bond yields.
CNBC
- Single source20 days ago
Jobless claims fall to 194,000, matching decades-low levels
U.S. jobless claims remain near six-decade lows, extending a period of minimal layoffs.
CNBC
- Single source21 days ago
Bank of Korea keeps rates steady as Lee pushes housing construction
South Korea's central bank held rates steady as President Lee pushes housing supply expansion to ease real estate pressure.
CNBC
- Single source21 days ago
UK inflation jumps to 3.5% as September deficit widens to £24.5bn
Consumer price growth accelerated beyond expectations while government borrowing exceeded forecasts, pressuring the finance minister ahead of budget announcements.
The Guardian
- Single source22 days ago
Japan's September exports fall short of forecasts as growth slows
Japan's September exports fell sharply below forecast, with growth slowing to 16.7%, signaling weakening external demand.
CNBC
- Single source24 days ago
Japan's PM Takaichi denies her policies weakened the yen or raised bond yields
Japanese PM Takaichi defends weak yen policy and current interest rate stance against criticism.
CNBC
- Single source26 days ago
Global economy shows unexpected resilience despite oil and geopolitical pressures
Guardian opinion piece questions how long the global economy can sustain growth amid structural pressures and risks.
The Guardian
- Single source27 days ago
Producer prices rose 6.3% year-over-year in September, exceeding forecasts
U.S. wholesale prices rose 6.3% year-over-year in September, the largest annual increase since 2022.
CNBC
- Single source28 days ago
Chicago Fed leader discusses latest inflation figures with NPR
Chicago Federal Reserve President discusses inflation data in public Q&A session.
NPR
- Single source29 days ago
Severe El Niño complicates inflation outlook for Philippine monetary authorities
Philippines' central bank models extreme weather scenarios alongside energy price pressures as consumer price growth hits its highest level in three years.
CNBC
- Single source29 days ago
Investors can protect portfolios from inflation through multiple asset classes
Beyond Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, commodities and infrastructure funds offer alternative hedging strategies against rising prices.
CNBC
- Single source29 days ago
September consumer prices anticipated to climb at faster pace
Inflation data expected to show accelerating price increases, potentially pressuring bonds and equities.
CNBC
- Single source30 days ago
Sticky pricing mechanisms connect frozen desserts to economics Nobel award
Nobel Prize in economics awarded; ice cream connection suggests behavioral economics or market mechanism focus.
NPR
- Single sourceabout 1 month ago
Prediction markets suggest 2026 inflation peak with persistent elevated levels
Prediction markets signal inflation peaked in 2026 but will persist at elevated levels.
CNBC
- Single sourceabout 1 month ago
Hall and Woodford win Nobel economics prize for stabilization models
Two American economists received the Nobel Prize for developing frameworks that enable policymakers to mitigate economic crises and prevent severe downturns.
The Guardian
- Single sourceabout 1 month ago
Indian consumer prices surge past forecasts during September
India's retail inflation climbed to 5.54% last month, exceeding expectations and marking an eleventh consecutive monthly gain that may prompt additional rate increases.
CNBC
- Reported by 2 outletsabout 1 month ago
Federal Reserve officials expressed concern about remaining inflation challenges
Federal Reserve officials indicated in meeting minutes that additional work remains to control inflation.
The New York Times · CNBC
- Single sourceabout 1 month ago
Consumer inflation expectations climb to peak not seen in over a year
The Federal Reserve's consumer survey showed median 12-month inflation projections reached 3.9%, marking the strongest reading since mid-2023.
CNBC
- Single sourceMARKET SHOCK ↓about 1 month ago
India raises benchmark rate for first time since 2023 amid inflation pressures
India's central bank raises rates for first time since 2023, signaling inflation pressure.
BBC News
- Single sourceabout 1 month ago
Reserve Bank of India raises borrowing costs amid growing price pressures
India's monetary authority lifted its key rate for the first time this year as inflation concerns mount, with major banks predicting another increase in December.
CNBC
- Single sourceabout 1 month ago
Australian consumer sentiment hits lowest point since early 1990s following rate increase
Australian consumer confidence fell to its lowest level since the 1990s following an RBA rate increase.
The Guardian
- Single sourceabout 1 month ago
Wage declines and energy costs fuel stagflation comparisons to 1970s
Deteriorating compensation, elevated fuel costs, and rising prices are creating economic parallels to the stagflation period of the 1970s.
MarketWatch
- Single sourceabout 1 month ago
Tokyo leader vows policy moves to restore yen strength amid weak dollar support
Japan's prime minister pledges policies to strengthen yen confidence as U.S. intervention fails to support the currency.
CNBC
- Reported by 3 outletsabout 1 month ago
Australia's central bank lifts borrowing costs to highest level in over a decade
The Reserve Bank increased its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.6%, matching economist forecasts and leaving room for potential future increases.
The Guardian · Al Jazeera · CNBC
- Single sourceNOT IN MAINSTREAM YETabout 2 months ago
Bridgewater and GIC warn of significant hurdles for institutional money managers
Bridgewater Associates and GIC outline major investment challenges ahead for institutional investors.
Bridgewater Associates
- Single sourceNOT IN MAINSTREAM YETabout 2 months ago
Bridgewater Associates cautions that inflation dangers are rising sharply
Bridgewater Associates warns of elevated inflation risks entering a new era.
Bridgewater Associates
- Single sourceabout 2 months ago
Tokyo monetary authorities draw criticism for insufficient policy response
American Enterprise Institute commentary characterizes Bank of Japan policy action as underwhelming.
American Enterprise Institute