Prediction Market Regulation
Latest in Prediction Market Regulation· Nov 4
Prediction markets correctly forecast a Democratic congressional sweep, adding to their track record of accuracy in high-stakes political forecasting. The successful call will likely accelerate adoption of prediction markets as alternatives to traditional polling and draw regulatory attention to their role in price discovery and information aggregation.
Congressional investigations, regulatory oversight, and policy developments addressing insider trading, market integrity, and licensing of prediction market platforms.
16 events tracked
- Single source8 days ago
Prediction markets gain credibility by calling Democratic congressional victory early
Prediction markets gain credibility after accurately forecasting Democratic congressional victories.
CNBC
- Single source10 days ago
Abbott's Texas lead narrows in betting markets despite remaining favorite
CNBC
- Single source10 days ago
Judith Levine: Betting platforms pose as populist but concentrate power among elites
Opinion piece questions why prediction market bettors are treated as political forecasters.
The Guardian
- Single source13 days ago
Small trades move thin election contracts on prediction markets
Prediction market traders are placing bets on U.S. election outcomes through contracts that violate federal gambling and securities law.
CNBC
- Single source13 days ago
Ballon d'Or organizers probe suspicious wagers that nailed top-five finishers
UK authorities investigate suspicious betting on Ballon d'Or award, with £149,000 in winnings flagged.
The Guardian
- Single source13 days ago
Prediction market Kalshi seeks to overturn 1958 onion futures ban
Kalshi seeks repeal of 1958 onion futures ban to launch prediction markets on agricultural commodities.
The New York Times
- Single source14 days ago
Polymarket trading halts due to technical outage days before midterms
Polymarket halts trading after outage on its international exchange platform.
CNBC
- Single source14 days ago
Kalshi raises $1 billion, valued at $40 billion despite legal battles
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, commands a $40 billion valuation from investors amid speculation over a potential IPO.
The New York Times
- Single source16 days ago
CFTC reopens investigation into Polymarket's U.S. user access
CFTC opens fresh investigation into Polymarket's U.S. user access despite offshore structure.
CNBC
- Single source16 days ago
Prediction markets give Democrats two-to-one odds for Congress control
Prediction markets favor Democrats to control both chambers of Congress in the coming election.
CNBC
- Single source16 days ago
Polymarket hires ex-FBI official to police insider trading on election bets
The prediction market platform has examined numerous election cases and recruited a former FBI investigator to prevent political figures from exploiting nonpublic information.
NPR
- Single source23 days ago
Kalshi traders boost Le Pen odds for 2027 French presidency as turmoil spreads
Betting markets show increased probability of Marine Le Pen winning France's next presidential election as civil unrest intensifies.
CNBC
- Single sourceabout 1 month ago
Prediction market platform Kalshi hires ex-FBI official for compliance
Kalshi hires former FBI agent to strengthen anti-money-laundering compliance.
NPR
- Single sourceabout 1 month ago
Crypto regulator faces staff cuts amid expanding market oversight duties
Cryptocurrency and prediction markets are growing while their regulatory oversight shrinks, creating a compliance gap.
NPR
- Single sourceabout 1 month ago
Democratic lawmaker proposes legislation restricting election-related wagers by political hopefuls
House Democrat seeks regulatory action on candidate prediction market trades following Kalshi platform penalty.
CNBC
- Single sourceabout 1 month ago
Comer broadens House probe of prediction market trading violations
The House Oversight Committee chair announced he is widening his investigation into insider trading activity within prediction markets.
CNBC