US Immigration & Deportation
Legal cases and policy decisions involving immigration enforcement, deportation proceedings, and civil liberties concerns affecting immigrant communities and religious minorities.
2 events tracked
Latest in US Immigration & Deportation· Oct 12
The Department of Homeland Security conducted a raid on a Minnesota congresswoman's residence as part of an investigation into potential immigration document fraud. The action represents a domestic law enforcement matter with limited immediate market relevance, though political uncertainty or reputational damage to sitting lawmakers could theoretically affect market sentiment if the investigation escalates to impact her legislative role or create broader governance concerns. The incident does not appear to signal any shift in immigration policy or enforcement direction at this time.
What the Market Says
- Deportations in 2026? ↗
- 99%Above 200,000
- 99%Above 300,000
- 97%Above 400,000
Earliest close Jan 1, 2027
Prices from Kalshi prediction markets: the market-implied chance of each outcome, set by traders, not a forecast or advice from Penblock. Penblock is not affiliated with Kalshi.
- Reported by 3 outlets10 days ago
Department of Homeland Security raids Minnesota representative's residence during immigration document investigation
Federal agents searched the home of a Democratic congresswoman as part of an inquiry into potential immigration paperwork irregularities.
BBC News · CNBC · Aaron Parnas
- Single source22 days ago
Federal judge finds Wisconsin imam deportable after legal challenge
A court determined that mosque leader Salah Sarsour meets criteria for removal from the country, though his legal team plans to appeal.
Al Jazeera