US Political Crisis
Domestic political conflicts including impeachment proceedings, congressional dysfunction, and institutional tensions within the US government.
3 events tracked
What the Market Says
- Will Trump be impeached? ↗
- 68%Before Jan 1, 2028
- 29%Before Mar 1, 2027
- 3%Before Jan 1, 2027
Earliest close Jan 1, 2027
- Will Trump be impeached and removed from office? ↗
- 17%Before his term ends
Earliest close Jan 20, 2029
- Will President Trump be impeached during his term? ↗
- 66%Before Jan 20, 2029
Earliest close Jan 20, 2029
Prices from Kalshi prediction markets: the market-implied chance of each outcome, set by traders, not a forecast or advice from Penblock. Penblock is not affiliated with Kalshi.
- UNSCOREDBLIND SPOT12 DAYS AGO
NEWS: Trump Furious After Convention Fails, Official Resigns Calling Out DOJ's Ethical Failures, Remembering 9/11, New War Erupts
This appears to be a single-source commentary or opinion piece from Aaron Parnas combining multiple unrelated claims—Trump's reaction to a convention, a DOJ ethics resignation, 9/11 remembrance, and a new war—without clear factual grounding or corroboration across news tiers. The title conflates distinct topics without establishing what actually occurred, making it impossible to assess whether any real event took place or what its substance is. No independent verification of these claims is indicated.
ON-THE-GROUNDSourced from Aaron Parnas
- UNSCOREDBLIND SPOT12 DAYS AGO
Big News: Record Number of Republicans Break and Urge Trump to End War, Canada Invited to EU, Trump Seeks to Rewrite History at Museums
Republican lawmakers urge Trump to end war; Canada invited to EU; Trump seeks museum history changes.
ON-THE-GROUNDSourced from Aaron Parnas
- UNSCOREDBLIND SPOT12 DAYS AGO
NEWS: GOP Sends Congress Home to Dodge Impeachment, McConnell Struggles to Vote, Trump Lashes Out as Fed Defies Him
GOP leadership adjourns Congress amid impeachment proceedings while Trump criticizes Federal Reserve independence.
ON-THE-GROUNDSourced from Aaron Parnas