PENBLOCK
Search
← ALL SITUATIONS
US POLITICAL INSTABILITY /

US Political Crisis

Latest in US Political Crisis· Nov 9

Republican Thomas Massie and senior Democrats have triggered impeachment proceedings against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, fracturing both parties internally over his fitness for office. The move reflects deepening partisan conflict that threatens continuity in Pentagon leadership during active military commitments, though Senate removal requires a supermajority neither party controls. Democrats signal broader investigations into Trump administration officials beyond Hegseth, creating near-term uncertainty over defense spending decisions and regulatory rollout timelines. Markets typically discount cabinet-level confirmation turbulence as low-probability tail risk unless it cascades into broader governance breakdown or shifts defense spending priorities materially.

Domestic political conflicts including impeachment proceedings, congressional dysfunction, and institutional tensions within the US government.

7 events tracked

What the Market Says

Prices from Kalshi prediction markets: the market-implied chance of each outcome, set by traders, not a forecast or advice from Penblock. Penblock is not affiliated with Kalshi.