AI /
AI Model Competition
Major AI companies releasing advanced large language models and frontier AI systems with competitive feature improvements and market positioning.
2 events tracked
What the Market Says
- Best AI at the end of 2026? ↗
- 52%Claude
- 35%Gemini
- 10%ChatGPT
Earliest close Dec 31, 2026
- Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026? ↗
- 72%Anthropic
- 12%Google
- 11%OpenAI
Earliest close Dec 31, 2026
- Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? ↗
- 21%OpenAI
- 8%Meta
- 8%xAI
Earliest close Jan 1, 2027
Prices from Kalshi prediction markets: the market-implied chance of each outcome, set by traders, not a forecast or advice from Penblock. Penblock is not affiliated with Kalshi.
- MEDIUM CONFIDENCEMAINSTREAM ONLY2 DAYS AGO
Google rolls out Gemini 4 Argon, its most advanced AI model
Google launches Gemini 4 Argon, its most advanced AI model, advancing competitive positioning in generative AI.
MAINSTREAMSourced from CNBC · MarketWatch
- MEDIUM CONFIDENCEMAINSTREAM ONLY4 DAYS AGO
Anthropic launches cheaper AI model, its second release since CEO's call for a slowdown
Anthropic releases a lower-cost AI model, its second launch after CEO advocated for industry deceleration.
MAINSTREAMSourced from CNBC