Atlantic Hurricane Forecast
Latest in Atlantic Hurricane Forecast· Nov 6
A strengthening El Niño pattern is reducing winter precipitation across North American ski regions, threatening natural snow bases that underpin resort revenues and mountain property values. Operators face shortened seasons and lower visitation if snow conditions deteriorate materially. Business interruption insurance claims will rise as the pattern persists, pressuring both resort earnings and the insurers covering seasonal weather risk.
Seasonal hurricane activity patterns, El Niño effects on Atlantic storm formation, and forecasts for tropical cyclone seasons.
5 events tracked
What the Market Says
- What named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year? ↗
- 4%Kyle
- 3%Leah
- 2%Rene
Earliest close Dec 1, 2026
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026? ↗
- 3%Above 1
- 2%Above 2
- 1%Above 3
Earliest close Dec 2, 2026
- Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026? ↗
- 1%Yes
Earliest close Dec 1, 2026
Prices from Kalshi prediction markets: the market-implied chance of each outcome, set by traders, not a forecast or advice from Penblock. Penblock is not affiliated with Kalshi.
- Single source7 days ago
Warming pattern threatens ski resorts' snow outlook across North America
Super El Niño threatens reduced snowfall across North American ski regions, pressuring resort revenues and real estate values.
The New York Times
- Single source27 days ago
Hurricane Trudy approaches Mexico with heavy rainfall expected
Hurricane Trudy approaches Mexico, posing flood and damage risks to the region.
Al Jazeera
- Single sourceMARKET SHOCK ↓about 1 month ago
Hurricane Isaias causes widespread damage along Gulf Coast states
The storm knocked out power to hundreds of thousands of residents in Florida and Alabama, prompting large-scale recovery operations.
Al Jazeera
- Single sourceabout 1 month ago
Oil sector readies operations as Hurricane Isaias approaches Gulf region
Oil industry takes precautions ahead of Hurricane Isaias, signaling potential supply disruption risk.
NPR
- Single sourceabout 1 month ago
El Niño conditions expected to limit Atlantic hurricane development this season
El Niño weather pattern may suppress Atlantic hurricane activity this year, reducing storm risk.
BBC News