Atlantic Hurricane Forecast
Seasonal hurricane activity patterns, El Niño effects on Atlantic storm formation, and forecasts for tropical cyclone seasons.
4 events tracked
Latest in Atlantic Hurricane Forecast· Oct 17
Hurricane Trudy is approaching Mexico as a major hurricane, with forecasts indicating heavy rainfall and significant storm impacts across the region. The storm poses risks to critical infrastructure including energy facilities and agricultural operations, while also threatening property damage that could generate insurance claims. Regional markets tied to commodities, real estate, and energy production may experience disruption as the hurricane makes landfall and moves through affected areas.
What the Market Says
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026? ↗
- 10%Above 1
- 5%Above 2
- 3%Above 3
Earliest close Dec 2, 2026
- How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026? ↗
- 5%Above 4
- 4%Above 5
- 2%Above 6
Earliest close Dec 2, 2026
Prices from Kalshi prediction markets: the market-implied chance of each outcome, set by traders, not a forecast or advice from Penblock. Penblock is not affiliated with Kalshi.
- Single source6 days ago
Hurricane Trudy approaches Mexico with heavy rainfall expected
Hurricane Trudy approaches Mexico, posing flood and damage risks to the region.
Al Jazeera
- Single sourceMARKET SHOCK ↓12 days ago
Hurricane Isaias causes widespread damage along Gulf Coast states
The storm knocked out power to hundreds of thousands of residents in Florida and Alabama, prompting large-scale recovery operations.
Al Jazeera
- Single source14 days ago
Oil sector readies operations as Hurricane Isaias approaches Gulf region
Oil industry takes precautions ahead of Hurricane Isaias, signaling potential supply disruption risk.
NPR
- Single source21 days ago
El Niño conditions expected to limit Atlantic hurricane development this season
El Niño weather pattern may suppress Atlantic hurricane activity this year, reducing storm risk.
BBC News