US Equity Outperformance
Analysis of drivers behind US stock market outperformance relative to global peers and conditions needed to sustain relative strength.
1 event tracked
What the Market Says
- S&P close price end of 2026? ↗
- 19%7,800 to 7,999.99
- 17%8,000 to 8,199.99
- 15%7,600 to 7,799.99
Earliest close Dec 31, 2026
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026? ↗
- 27%33,000.01 or above
- 8%31,000 to 31,499.99
- 8%31,500 to 31,999.99
Earliest close Dec 31, 2026
- Will the S&P finish positive this year? ↗
- 89%Positive Growth
Earliest close Jan 1, 2027
Prices from Kalshi prediction markets: the market-implied chance of each outcome, set by traders, not a forecast or advice from Penblock. Penblock is not affiliated with Kalshi.