Russia Oil Sanctions
Latest in Russia Oil Sanctions· Oct 18
Overnight strikes targeting St. Petersburg oil installations have raised immediate concerns about potential disruptions to Russian crude output and refining capacity. Damage to energy production assets in Russia's second-largest city could tighten global oil supply and create upward pressure on energy costs, while also highlighting geopolitical risks to critical infrastructure in a major energy-producing region. The extent of actual production impact remains to be assessed as details about the damage emerge.
Impact of Western sanctions on Russian crude oil exports, production, and global energy markets.
8 events tracked
What the Market Says
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026? ↗
- 11%$115.01 or above
- 8%$120.01 or above
- 5%$130.01 or above
Earliest close Dec 31, 2026
- WTI price at year end? ↗
- 82%75 or above
- 62%80 or above
- 52%85 or above
Earliest close Dec 31, 2026
Prices from Kalshi prediction markets: the market-implied chance of each outcome, set by traders, not a forecast or advice from Penblock. Penblock is not affiliated with Kalshi.
- Single sourceNOT IN MAINSTREAM YET7 days ago
Russian diesel shipments divert from U.S. to Brazil and Algeria
Russia's diesel supply and Japan's defense posture shift amid geopolitical tensions.
Geopolitical Futures
- Single sourceMARKET SHOCK ↓25 days ago
Overnight strikes kill person at St Petersburg oil installations
Oil facilities in St Petersburg struck in overnight attack, raising energy supply disruption concerns.
BBC News
- Reported by 2 outletsMARKET SHOCK ↑26 days ago
Trump declines to impose penalties on Moscow under Graham legislation, citing national security
The president invoked national interest to avoid implementing restrictions that Congress had authorized against Russia following its Ukraine invasion.
CNBC · The Guardian
- Reported by 2 outletsMARKET SHOCK ↑26 days ago
Trump suspends certain Russia penalties citing national interest concerns
The president invoked national interest grounds to waive provisions in fresh legislation designed to penalize Russia over its Ukraine conflict.
Al Jazeera · BBC News
- Single source30 days ago
Bipartisan senators push Trump to abandon Russian fuel sanctions relief
Twelve senators from both parties urged the president to reverse a decision easing restrictions on Russia's diesel shipments, arguing it would bolster Moscow's military operations in Ukraine.
The New York Times
- Reported by 2 outletsabout 1 month ago
Republican lawmaker questions legality of Trump's Russia diesel deal
Republican senator questions legality of Trump's reported diesel agreement with Russia.
Al Jazeera · BBC News
- Single sourceabout 1 month ago
Iranian crude may gain Central Asian market share as Russian supplies tighten
Russia's fuel shortage may create market opportunity for Iranian oil exports into Central Asia.
Al Jazeera
- Single sourcealmost 2 years ago
Goldman Sachs finds Russian oil shipments holding steady under new U.S. penalties
Goldman Sachs reports that recent American sanctions on Russia have not materially disrupted the nation's crude oil exports.
The Wall Street Journal