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US ECONOMIC POLICY /

US Interest Rates & Bonds

Federal Reserve monetary policy, Treasury yields, inflation dynamics, and their effects on borrowing costs, asset valuations, and financial markets.

52 events tracked

Latest in US Interest Rates & Bonds· Oct 22

Treasury yields plummeted as investors fled riskier assets into government bonds, a flight-to-safety move that typically signals equity weakness or heightened uncertainty. The decline reflects broad unwinding of trades rather than isolated repositioning. Lower yields reduce borrowing costs but compress returns on fixed income and squeeze bank net interest margins. Former Fed official Warsh's earlier warnings about mounting economic uncertainty have gained credence as market conditions deteriorated.

What the Market Says

Prices from Kalshi prediction markets: the market-implied chance of each outcome, set by traders, not a forecast or advice from Penblock. Penblock is not affiliated with Kalshi.